![]() ![]() I also make a personal choice not to register with a political party, or to vote. I am committed to maintaining the highest level of transparency and The Times has an extensive ethics policy. There is a responsibility to accurately and fairly represent the views and attitudes of the electorate in a democratic society, and I take that responsibility very seriously. Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight, gives the New York Times/Siena College poll an A+ grade and rates it as the most accurate poll in America. Clinton, is a symbol of the speed with which political hopes can be upended, as well as the maddening uncertainty of pollingand liberals are still deeply. It’s strictly about turnout among the highly engaged, not about winning over Republican-leaning voters, but still. I’ve won several awards over the years, most recently the Citrin Award for achievements in public opinion research from the Citrin Center at the University of California at Berkeley. Turnout Data Reveals the Core of Democrats’ Success in Special Elections. Before that, I was a staff writer for The New Republic and a research assistant at The Henry L. ![]() I work closely with our election results and election analytics teams to make election night projections and to build our live election night forecast, known as “the needle.” My Background I’m also responsible for the methodology of the New York Times/Siena College survey, which I started in 2016. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol hanging over the. Biden Jr.’s presidency and with the memories of the Jan. My writing for The Upshot and my newsletter, The Tilt, is analytical, explanatory, empirical and data-driven. But it is Tuesday’s election that will determine the immediate future of Joseph R.
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